CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju believes Bitcoin’s bull cycle might be over. This could lead to lower prices. Bitcoin is now at $83,500, below its 200-day average of $84,300.
Since January 2025, Bitcoin has lost over 29%. This has raised worries about its future strength.
Young Ju points out Bitcoin’s trouble in reaching $86,000. This is a crucial level for recovery. If it fails, prices might drop to $75,000-$78,000, important demand zones.
These predictions match with falling miner outflows and hash rates. This shows the market is changing.
Key Takeaways
- CryptoQuant CEO warns Bitcoin’s bitcoin bull cycle has ended, with prices could fall further.
- Bitcoin’s current price of $83,500 is below its 200-day moving average, a bearish sign.
- Recovery hinges on breaking above $86,000; failure risks a drop to $75,000-$78,000.
- Historical data shows miner outflows and hash rate trends correlate with major Bitcoin cycles.
- CryptoQuant’s analysis contrasts with optimistic views, creating uncertainty in the cryptocurrency market.
CryptoQuant CEO: Bitcoin’s Bull Cycle is Over, Prices Could Fall Lower Due
CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju shares a clear view on Bitcoin’s future. His team uses blockchain analytics to track digital assets in real-time. This data is key for traders, showing Bitcoin’s downturn is more than just a cycle—it’s a change in structure.
Who is the CryptoQuant CEO and Why Their Analysis Matters
Ki Young Ju heads CryptoQuant, a platform that breaks down blockchain data. His team watches wallet activity, exchange inflows, and network metrics. This helps predict market shifts. His past predictions on Bitcoin have proven accurate, making his insights valuable.
Key Points from the Bearish Market Assessment
- Bitcoin has lost 29% since January 2025, trading at $83,500.
- Failure to reclaim $86,000 risks a drop to $75,000-$78,000.
- Stablecoin inflows on Ethereum now exceed Bitcoin/ETH demand by historic margins.
- A “death cross” pattern—50-day MA below 200-day MA—has formed.
Technical Indicators Supporting the End of Bull Cycle Claim
The RSI at 48 shows weak buying pressure. Bitcoin’s fall below its 200-day SMA ($84,300) backs Ju’s warning. A drop below $80,000 could lead to a sharp fall to $73,000, according to his analysis.
Market Factors Supporting the Bearish Bitcoin Outlook
Bitcoin’s price drop shows the market volatility caused by big economic changes. Experts say Bitcoin’s value of $83,500 is 29% lower than in January 2025. This matches Ki Young Ju’s prediction of a long bearish or sideways trend. The $86,000 level, where Bitcoin has not gone up, shows it’s hard for prices to rise.
- Fed policy uncertainty: Rising rates and inflation data heighten risk aversion.
- Stablecoin inflows outpacing Bitcoin/ETH demand, per CryptoQuant data.
- Funding rates near 0% signal trader indecision.
| Price Level | Implication | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| $80,000 | Key support zone | A breach could trigger drops to $75,000-$78,000 |
| $86,000 | Resistance barrier | Must be surpassed to reverse bearish momentum |
| $90,000 | Psychological hurdle | Historic peaks show this level often precedes corrections |
Alan Knitowski believes Bitcoin’s price is 67% below what it should be, hinting at more falls. The Ethereum network’s stablecoin inflows show investors are moving to safer digital assets. Since September 2024 demand has dropped, similar to past trends but without the strength needed for a comeback. With the FOMC’s plans and regulatory doubts, traders are waiting for clear signs on Bitcoin’s future.
Conclusion: Implications for Bitcoin Investors and the Broader Crypto Market
CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju’s analysis shows a key moment for the crypto market. Investors should get ready for more market ups and downs. Bitcoin’s technical signs point to a possible drop, with prices near $85,441.
Prices failing below $80,000 could lead to a sharp fall to $73,777. This could end the current bitcoin bull cycle. It’s a warning for investors to be cautious.
For those watching the bitcoin bull cycle, it’s important to think about risk management. Tools like stop-loss orders can help. Short-term traders should keep an eye on the 20-day EMA ($85,441) as a resistance level.
Long-term holders might want to rethink their holding periods. The CryptoQuant CEO’s warnings stress the importance of being careful in these volatile markets.
The crypto market’s future depends on Bitcoin’s price staying above $80,000. If prices keep falling, it could make the market even more unstable. Investors and analysts need to watch both on-chain data and big economic trends closely.
Ki Young Ju’s insights remind us of Bitcoin’s sensitivity to technical issues and changes in investor mood.
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Source Links
- Stablecoin Inflows Surpass All Previous Peaks – Is Bitcoin Set For A Major Move? | Bitcoinist.com
- Bitcoin Miner Reserves drop 42% – How will this impact the price?
- Stablecoin Inflows Surpass All Previous Peaks – Is Bitcoin Set For A Major Move?
- Bitcoin’s Fear Index Hits Extreme: Will History Repeat Itself?
- Is the Bitcoin Bull Market Over? Experts Share Conflicting Predictions – FreeBitcoin
- Gold Trades To A New All Time High – FastBull
- Gold Price Surpasses $3,000 Per Ounce for The First Time in History – FastBull